UnclassifiedExpires May 5, 2026

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards

Probability

3¢

1h

-47.0pp

24h

-48.5pp

24h Vol

$15.7K

Liquidity

$4.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 08:00Apr 28, 2026, 13:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 49pp over 24h

    Now 3¢; -47.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 3.4× turnover

    $15.7k traded against $4.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 8¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.3h

    LOW

Price movement

-51.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Other

Market Description

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the Liaoning Flying Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Liaoning Flying Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
flashscore.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket