Alvark Tokyo vs. Shiga Lakestars
Probability
84¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+26.0pp
24h Vol
$237.33
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 26pp over 24h
Now 84¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 79¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 173.5h
Price movement
+32.5pp over the last 24h, now 84¢.
Biggest hourly move: +33.5pp at 19:00 (to 85¢).
Show top 8 of 30 hourly moves
- 00:00 · +32.5pp → 84¢
- 22:00 · +33.0pp → 84¢
- 21:00 · +33.0pp → 84¢
- 20:00 · +33.0pp → 84¢
- 19:00 · +33.5pp → 85¢
- 16:00 · +32.5pp → 84¢
- 15:00 · +32.5pp → 84¢
- 13:00 · +32.0pp → 83¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6Market Description
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 26 at 2:05AM ET: If the Alvark Tokyo win, the market will resolve to "Alvark Tokyo". If the Shiga Lakestars win, the market will resolve to "Shiga Lakestars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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