SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Koshigaya Alphas vs. Brave Thunders

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+50.0pp

24h Vol

$9.9K

Liquidity

$31.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+47.9pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 10:00Apr 26, 2026, 09:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 50pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 164.3h

    LOW
  • 09:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+48.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +62.0pp at 09:44 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
  • 09:44 · +62.0pp → 100¢
  • 08:00 · +46.9pp → 98¢
  • 07:00 · +48.5pp → 90¢
  • 05:00 · +31.0pp → 69¢
  • 03:00 · +21.0pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · -15.0pp → 36¢
  • 3d ago · -14.5pp → 38¢
  • 3d ago · -15.5pp → 37¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 26 at 2:05AM ET: If the Koshigaya Alphas win, the market will resolve to "Koshigaya Alphas". If the Brave Thunders win, the market will resolve to "Brave Thunders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
bleague.jp
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket