Nagoya Fighting Eagles vs. Nagasaki Velca
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.0pp
24h Vol
$10.77
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 12¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 17¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 178.7h
Price movement
-7.0pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -41.5pp at 17:00 (to 11¢).
Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · -40.0pp → 12¢
- 17:00 · -41.5pp → 11¢
- 15:00 · -22.0pp → 29¢
- 14:00 · -20.5pp → 30¢
- 12:00 · -39.0pp → 12¢
- 09:00 · -19.5pp → 32¢
- 08:00 · -21.5pp → 30¢
- 06:00 · -18.5pp → 33¢
- 05:00 · -28.5pp → 22¢
- 03:00 · -11.5pp → 40¢
- 02:00 · -25.0pp → 26¢
- 00:00 · -34.5pp → 16¢
- 23:00 · -19.0pp → 32¢
- 21:00 · -22.5pp → 28¢
- 20:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · -14.0pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · -30.0pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -18.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · -18.5pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · -16.5pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · -25.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -29.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -30.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -32.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -31.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -28.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -34.5pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -34.5pp → 18¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 26 at 2:35AM ET: If the Nagoya Fighting Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Nagoya Fighting Eagles". If the Nagasaki Velca win, the market will resolve to "Nagasaki Velca". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- based on the final score including any overtime periodsAmbiguous wordingbleague.jp
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.