AIExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Nagoya Fighting Eagles

Probability

99¢

1h

+82.0pp

24h

+32.5pp

24h Vol

$3.8K

Liquidity

$14.7K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+48.9pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 09:00May 2, 2026, 08:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 32pp over 24h

    Now 99¢; +82.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $14.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 165.3h

    LOW
  • 08:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

    LOW

Price movement

+32.5pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.

Biggest hourly move: +49.0pp at 08:45 (to 99¢).

Show top 8 of 38 hourly moves
  • 08:45 · +49.0pp → 99¢
  • 07:00 · +17.5pp → 69¢
  • 11:00 · +20.0pp → 70¢
  • 09:00 · +20.0pp → 70¢
  • 1d ago · +17.5pp → 68¢
  • 1d ago · +17.0pp → 67¢
  • 1d ago · +17.0pp → 67¢
  • 1d ago · +21.5pp → 70¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for May 2 at 2:05AM ET: If the Shimane Susanoo Magic win, the market will resolve to "Shimane Susanoo Magic". If the Nagoya Fighting Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Nagoya Fighting Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.