Attentive-Crewman
0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$171.4K
Total PnL
$551.4K
Realised
$598.4K
Win rate
97%
143 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
52876 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$39.0K
$-604.22
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
37315 shares @ 2.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$37.3K
$36.2K
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
46585 shares @ 75.7¢·now 73.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$34.4K
$-860.99
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
20035 shares @ 54.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.0K
$9.0K
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
39666 shares @ 28.3¢·now 40.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$16.2K
$5.0K
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
13586 shares @ 33.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$390.67
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3945 shares @ 78.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.4K
$277.59
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7424 shares @ 23.3¢·now 28.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$353.86
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8977 shares @ 3.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.1K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14104 shares @ 13.8¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9K
$-72.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMBloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Mark Lajal$100.00Jul 25, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha$90.93Jul 25, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs$6.84Jul 25, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs$8.38Jul 25, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs$15.51Jul 25, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-07-24?$67.70Jul 25, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?$53.64Jul 25, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5$58.33Jul 25, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5$46.83Jul 25, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMClub Alianza Atlético vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 4.5$1.3KJul 25, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B$86.94Jul 25, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMClub Alianza Atlético vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 2.5$285.59Jul 25, 00:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$452.82Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMClub Alianza Atlético vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 5.5$150.00Jul 25, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Younglings vs Sangal ALTERS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season$101.65Jul 25, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?$402.83Jul 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 3M Open?$605.16Jul 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Kim win the 2026 3M Open?$9.66Jul 25, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$1.24Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.64Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$26.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 4, 02:40 UTC → Jun 10, 15:35 UTC
- BUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.2K@100¢Jun 10, 15:35 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 143 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
143 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
$15.2K · 57% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $44.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 23:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 143 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.