SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Toyama Grouses vs. Akita Northern Happinets

Probability

74¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$6.17

Liquidity

$1.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 74¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 177.2h

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 74¢.

Biggest hourly move: +35.0pp at 03:00 (to 85¢).

Show all 41 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 19:00 · +24.0pp → 74¢
  • 17:00 · +25.5pp → 76¢
  • 16:00 · +26.0pp → 76¢
  • 15:00 · +26.5pp → 76¢
  • 13:00 · +26.0pp → 76¢
  • 12:00 · +26.0pp → 76¢
  • 10:00 · +8.0pp → 57¢
  • 09:00 · +11.5pp → 61¢
  • 08:00 · +6.5pp → 56¢
  • 06:00 · +7.5pp → 57¢
  • 05:00 · +26.0pp → 76¢
  • 03:00 · +35.0pp → 85¢
  • 02:00 · +8.5pp → 58¢
  • 00:00 · +23.0pp → 73¢
  • 22:00 · +4.5pp → 54¢
  • 20:00 · +23.5pp → 73¢
  • 1d ago · +7.0pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +14.0pp → 63¢
  • 1d ago · +16.0pp → 65¢
  • 1d ago · +26.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +26.5pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +24.0pp → 73¢
  • 1d ago · +11.0pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · +22.0pp → 71¢
  • 2d ago · +24.5pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +22.5pp → 72¢
  • 2d ago · +20.5pp → 72¢
  • 2d ago · +21.0pp → 72¢
  • 2d ago · +21.0pp → 72¢
  • 2d ago · +23.5pp → 75¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 60¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 60¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 61¢
  • 3d ago · -23.0pp → 50¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 50¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:05AM ET: If the Toyama Grouses win, the market will resolve to "Toyama Grouses". If the Akita Northern Happinets win, the market will resolve to "Akita Northern Happinets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
based on the final score including any overtime periodsAmbiguous wording
bleague.jp
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets