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OtherExpires May 3, 2026

Virtus Bologna vs. Pallacanestro Trieste

Probability

83¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$14.99

Liquidity

$112.11

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 83¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 196h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 9.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 195.6h

    LOW
  • 12:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 196h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 24.5pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for April 26 at 12:30PM ET: If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the Pallacanestro Trieste win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Trieste". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

3 wallets