Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-10?
Probability
34¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$2.70
Liquidity
$2.8K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 34¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 39¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 144.8h
Price movement
-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 3d ago (to 37¢).
Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
- 10:00 · -8.0pp → 34¢
- 09:00 · -8.5pp → 34¢
- 08:00 · -8.5pp → 34¢
- 07:00 · -10.0pp → 34¢
- 06:00 · -10.5pp → 34¢
- 05:00 · -10.0pp → 34¢
- 03:00 · -8.5pp → 35¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 37¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If SV Darmstadt 98 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
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