UnclassifiedExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Probability

75¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$2.5K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets
Link
data.chain.link
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 03:00May 2, 2026, 09:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 13.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 16.3h

    HIGH
  • 09:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 75¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

18 wallets
Open on Polymarket