Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$7.91
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-25.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 21¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 30h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 30h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 30 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 29.9h
- 13:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 30h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 7¢-3.0pp
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)
Other · Vol $92.93
- 8¢-1.5pp
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)
Other · Vol $1.38
- 7¢+2.9pp
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)
Other · Vol $20.35
- 68¢+0.5pp
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $1.47
- 41¢0.0pp
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $19.23
- 20¢-1.0pp
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $5.00
- 10¢-0.5pp
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢+0.5pp
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $20.00
- 2¢-2.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $720.6K
- 7¢-33.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $679.7K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $566.4K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $436.4K
Market Description
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for April 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Corinthians Paulista" if SC Corinthians Paulista win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-aNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).