Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$92.59
Liquidity
$239.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 10.7h
- 13:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 53¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 53¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-aNews consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).