CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)

Probability

24¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$53.25

Liquidity

$44.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 24¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 6h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.5h

    HIGH
  • 18:28Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 24¢.

Biggest hourly move: -3.5pp at 1d ago (to 25¢).

Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 1d ago · -3.5pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -3.0pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 25¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mirassol FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
cbf.com.br
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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