Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

3. 3

   Expiry in 7h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

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In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mirassol FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.