Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$495.60
Liquidity
$33.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryChainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot marketsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryChainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot marketsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 05:17SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 04:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Alerts
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