Exact Score: SC Freiburg 4 - 4 VfL Wolfsburg?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+47.0pp
24h Vol
$55.00
Liquidity
$0.00
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 47pp over 24h
Now 50¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 100.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:27SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 17:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
+47.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: -48.9pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).
Show top 8 of 67 hourly moves
- 15:00 · -48.1pp → 1¢
- 05:00 · -47.9pp → 1¢
- 04:00 · -48.0pp → 1¢
- 23:00 · -48.4pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -48.8pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -48.8pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -48.8pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -48.9pp → 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg match originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
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