Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
Probability
43¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$12.9K
Liquidity
$17.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $17.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:56PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 48¢
- 16:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
Active signals
Recent Trades
4- BUYUNDER3m ago
- BUYUNDER3m ago
- BUYUNDER3m ago
- BUYUNDER3m ago
Related Markets
14- 7¢-2.5pp
Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)
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Other · Vol $177.99
- 25¢+8.0pp
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Market Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Hamburger SV and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, scheduled for April 25 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Hamburger SV and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsbundesliga.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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