Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Draw at halftime?
Probability
100¢
1h
+34.9pp
24h
+62.0pp
24h Vol
$138.47
Liquidity
$22.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+62.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 62pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +34.9pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $22.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:21SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
+62.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +62.0pp at 17:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 17:00 · +62.0pp → 100¢
- 21:00 · +12.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · +14.5pp → 38¢
- 3d ago · +17.5pp → 38¢
- 4d ago · -12.0pp → 25¢
- 4d ago · -13.5pp → 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.