UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires May 3, 2026

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+3.0pp

24h Vol

$39.6K

Liquidity

$617.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $39.6k traded against $617.3k of visible liquidity (0.06× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 183.4h

    LOW

Price movement

+3.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.

Biggest hourly move: +4.0pp at 17:00 (to 37¢).

Show 5 hourly moves
  • 22:00 · +3.5pp → 36¢
  • 21:00 · +3.5pp → 36¢
  • 19:00 · +3.5pp → 37¢
  • 17:00 · +4.0pp → 37¢
  • 16:00 · +3.5pp → 36¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
Category · Other

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Link
bundesliga.com
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

19 wallets
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