Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-7.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$221.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 4
UMA status: disputed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: disputed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:14SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: -44.8pp at 2d ago (to 55¢).
Show all 24 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -4.9pp → 50¢
- 19:00 · -4.9pp → 50¢
- 17:00 · -4.9pp → 50¢
- 15:00 · -4.9pp → 50¢
- 14:00 · -4.9pp → 50¢
- 12:00 · -4.9pp → 50¢
- 11:00 · -5.0pp → 50¢
- 09:00 · -7.2pp → 50¢
- 08:00 · -7.2pp → 50¢
- 06:00 · -7.2pp → 50¢
- 05:00 · -7.2pp → 50¢
- 03:00 · -7.2pp → 50¢
- 02:00 · -7.2pp → 50¢
- 00:00 · -6.8pp → 51¢
- 23:00 · -6.8pp → 51¢
- 21:00 · -6.8pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +16.8pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +16.8pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · -44.8pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · -44.8pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · -44.8pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +9.9pp → 57¢
- 2d ago · +32.4pp → 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 14 at 12:00 AM ET: If the Fresno State Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Fresno State Bulldogs". If the Utah State Aggies win, the market will resolve to "Utah State Aggies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 14, 2026
- UMA status
- disputed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: disputed
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.