Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+44.5pp
24h Vol
$39.0K
Liquidity
$165.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+54.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 44pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:57SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 54¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 54¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 54¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 52¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 52¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 52¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 52¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 52¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 52¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 53¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 56¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 56¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Shanghai Haigang FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.csl-china.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).