SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York - Game 4 Winner

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$90.00

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 08:00May 2, 2026, 00:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 98.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.6h

    HIGH
  • 00:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

    HIGH

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: +8.5pp at 17:00 (to 59¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Los Angeles Thieves and Cloud9 New York in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 1 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Thieves" if Los Angeles Thieves win Game 4 against Cloud9 New York. This market will resolve to "Cloud9 New York" if Cloud9 New York win Game 4 against Los Angeles Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.