SportsExpires May 1, 2026

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Probability

72¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$2.04

Liquidity

$196.97

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 128h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 42.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 127.7h

    LOW
  • 20:20Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 128h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 72¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:00AM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (42.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets