SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas - Game 3 Winner

Probability

48¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$540.68

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
liquipedia.net
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (28.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 08:00Apr 30, 2026, 15:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 48¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 58h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 28.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 58h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 58 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 57.6h

    HIGH
  • 15:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 58h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.

Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 06:00 (to 37¢).

Show 6 hourly moves
  • 15:00 · -4.0pp → 47¢
  • 14:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
  • 11:00 · -3.0pp → 48¢
  • 10:00 · -3.5pp → 47¢
  • 06:00 · -14.0pp → 37¢
  • 22:00 · -3.5pp → 47¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventCall of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Miami Heretics and FaZe Vegas in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 2 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Miami Heretics" if Miami Heretics win Game 3 against FaZe Vegas. This market will resolve to "FaZe Vegas" if FaZe Vegas win Game 3 against Miami Heretics. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket