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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 23, 2026

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+0.1pp

24h Vol

$7.9M

Liquidity

$7.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.1pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 19:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

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Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 18:13Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoResolve

    Market resolved 42h ago

    HIGH
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventTamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 23, 2026
Resolution source
UMA status
n/a
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
  • Market expires Apr 23, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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