UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026
Creator

Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 3 Winner

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$310.04

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (63.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 08:00May 2, 2026, 20:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 28h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 63.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 28 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 27.7h

    HIGH
  • 20:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 28h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.

Biggest hourly move: -32.5pp at 2d ago (to 19¢).

Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -28.5pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -30.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -29.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -31.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -30.5pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -32.0pp → 19¢
  • 2d ago · -32.5pp → 19¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Vancouver Surge and Los Angeles Thieves in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 3 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Surge" if Vancouver Surge win Game 3 against Los Angeles Thieves. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Thieves" if Los Angeles Thieves win Game 3 against Vancouver Surge. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.