Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Riyadh Falcons - Game 3 Winner
Probability
51¢
1h
+11.5pp
24h
+5.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$229.93
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (77.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 51¢; +11.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 77.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (77.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.6h
- 20:22SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 7h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+5.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: -21.5pp at 20:00 (to 29¢).
Show top 8 of 43 hourly moves
- 20:00 · -21.5pp → 29¢
- 18:00 · -20.5pp → 39¢
- 17:00 · -18.5pp → 41¢
- 16:00 · -18.0pp → 41¢
- 10:00 · -11.5pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -17.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Vancouver Surge and Riyadh Falcons in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 2 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Surge" if Vancouver Surge win Game 3 against Riyadh Falcons. This market will resolve to "Riyadh Falcons" if Riyadh Falcons win Game 3 against Vancouver Surge. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.