SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

76ers vs. Celtics

Probability

29¢

1h

-15.5pp

24h

-13.5pp

24h Vol

$5.3K

Liquidity

$67.2K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 05:00May 1, 2026, 01:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 29¢; -15.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $5.3k traded against $67.2k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 13.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover.

  • 04
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 26h.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 26 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 26.0h

    HIGH
  • 01:57Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 13.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover.

    MEDIUM
  • 01:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 26h.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-13.5pp over the last 24h, now 29¢.

Biggest hourly move: -17.0pp at 2d ago (to 44¢).

Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
  • 01:00 · -7.0pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · +11.0pp → 48¢
  • 2d ago · +10.5pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · -17.0pp → 44¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:00AM ET: If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket