Loading shell…
OtherExpires Jan 24, 2026

Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5

Probability

14¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.6pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$412.77

Probability (last 7 days)

-31.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 27.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:00Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -8.4pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -7.9pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -8.3pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 14.3pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 14.3pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 14.4pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 13.8pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 14.1pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.3pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.8pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.6pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.7pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game between Llaneros FC and CA Bucaramanga, scheduled for January 24 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Llaneros FC and CA Bucaramanga combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on dimayor.com.co. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 24, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.dimayor.com.co/Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Wide spread (27.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).