SportsExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings

Probability

56¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+5.0pp

24h Vol

$73.7K

Liquidity

$45.3K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Link
espncricinfo.com
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 17:00May 5, 2026, 11:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 5pp over 24h

    Now 56¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover

    $73.7k traded against $45.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 5.0pp in 24h with 1.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 51¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.4h

    LOW
  • 11:35Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 5.0pp in 24h with 1.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH

Price movement

+5.0pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.

Biggest hourly move: +4.0pp at 11:00 (to 56¢).

Show 2 hourly moves
  • 11:00 · +4.0pp → 56¢
  • 09:00 · +3.0pp → 55¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the cricket match between Delhi Capitals and Chennai Super Kings scheduled for May 5 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

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