Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?
Probability
51¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$3.8K
Liquidity
$9.0K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $9.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 168.6h
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
8- 1¢-0.1
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sports · Vol $2.0M
- 6¢+2.1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 1¢0.0
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.0M
- 99¢+90.3
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Sports · Vol $928.3K
- 21¢-0.1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sports · Vol $778.9K
- 0¢0.0
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $729.0K
Market Description
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants scheduled for 2026-05-04 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.