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SportsExpires May 2, 2026

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-51.8pp

24h Vol

$4.2K

Liquidity

$939.63

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:10
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 52pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $940 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 162.8h

    LOW
  • 15:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -47.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -49.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad scheduled for 2026-04-25 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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