Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-51.8pp
24h Vol
$4.2K
Liquidity
$939.63
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 52pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $940 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.8h
- 15:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.9pp
to 0¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -49.9pp
to 0¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad scheduled for 2026-04-25 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.espncricinfo.com/Ambiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).