UnclassifiedExpires May 5, 2026

T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka

Probability

40¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$6.4K

Liquidity

$1.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 17:00Apr 28, 2026, 08:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 3.9× turnover

    $6.4k traded against $1.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 168h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 04
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 167.9h

    LOW
  • 08:04Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 168h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-9.5pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.

Biggest hourly move: -16.0pp at 21:00 (to 33¢).

Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
  • 06:00 · -14.5pp → 33¢
  • 04:00 · -14.0pp → 34¢
  • 02:00 · -14.0pp → 34¢
  • 01:00 · -14.0pp → 34¢
  • 00:00 · -14.0pp → 34¢
  • 23:00 · -15.0pp → 33¢
  • 21:00 · -16.0pp → 33¢
  • 19:00 · -15.5pp → 34¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the cricket match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka scheduled for April 28 2026 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.