UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026

T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

Probability

60¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+8.0pp

24h Vol

$3.0K

Liquidity

$11.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 18:00Apr 27, 2026, 01:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 60¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $11.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 55¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 175.6h

    LOW

Price movement

+8.0pp over the last 24h, now 60¢.

Biggest hourly move: +13.5pp at 00:00 (to 60¢).

Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
  • 01:00 · +13.5pp → 60¢
  • 00:00 · +13.5pp → 60¢
  • 22:00 · +12.0pp → 58¢
  • 21:00 · +10.0pp → 57¢
  • 20:00 · +9.5pp → 57¢
  • 18:00 · +6.5pp → 54¢
  • 14:00 · +6.5pp → 54¢
  • 13:00 · +6.5pp → 54¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the cricket match between Bangladesh and New Zealand scheduled for April 27 2026 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.