Test Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Match goes to Day 4?

• 01
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

• 02
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 80.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to whether play in the Test match between India and Afghanistan in Test Series India vs Afghanistan reaches Day 4 under the competition's official playing conditions. This market resolves according to the finalized match status and the officially recorded progression of play as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The market will resolve Yes if play officially begins on Day 4. The market will resolve No if the match is completed, abandoned, canceled, or otherwise concludes under the playing conditions before any play begins on Day 4. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.