ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates
Probability
53¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+8.5pp
24h Vol
$152.95
Liquidity
$300.77
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 53¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $301 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 48¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 174.1h
Price movement
+8.5pp over the last 24h, now 53¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.0pp at 13:00 (to 53¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 21:40 · -17.0pp → 53¢
- 20:00 · -17.0pp → 53¢
- 18:00 · -14.5pp → 56¢
- 17:00 · -18.0pp → 52¢
- 15:00 · -18.0pp → 53¢
- 14:00 · -18.0pp → 53¢
- 13:00 · -18.0pp → 53¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 45¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the cricket match between Nepal and United Arab Emirates scheduled for April 30 2026 in ICC Cricket World Cup League Two. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
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