T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs Italy
Probability
100¢
1h
+16.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$13.3K
Liquidity
$105.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $13.3k traded against $105.5k of visible liquidity (0.13× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 163.9h
- 11:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+38.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the cricket match between Rwanda and Italy scheduled for April 27 2026 in T20 Challenge Trophy, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
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