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SportsExpires Apr 21, 2026

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs CSGOPOSITIVE (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Probability

15¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-7.4pp

24h Vol

$10.00

Liquidity

$11.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 15¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 29.9¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 14:33Price

    Probability up 14.9pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 14.9pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 14.9pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 14.9pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 18.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 18.9pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 19.9pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.1pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -47.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between aimclub and CSGOPOSITIVE in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win the match against CSGOPOSITIVE. This market will resolve to "CSGOPOSITIVE" if CSGOPOSITIVE win the match against aimclub. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (29.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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