SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026
Creator

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs TNC - Map 2 Winner

Probability

1h

-50.0pp

24h

-50.0pp

24h Vol

$10.01

Liquidity

$16.8K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 15:00Apr 30, 2026, 19:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -50.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:45Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.8h

    HIGH
  • 19:58Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ALGO Esports and TNC in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for April 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ALGO Esports" if ALGO Esports win Map 2 against TNC. This market will resolve to "TNC" if TNC win Map 2 against ALGO Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets