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OtherExpires Apr 29, 2026

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Probability

47¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$7.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:09
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 104.3h

    LOW
  • 13:09Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Astralis and G2 in the BLAST Rivals Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

2 wallets