Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs
Probability
64¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$195.81
Liquidity
$10.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 64¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 9h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 9 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 9.2h
- 14:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 64¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 64¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 64¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 62¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 64¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 67¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 59¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 60¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 59¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 54¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 54¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 62¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 60¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FOKUS and KOLESIE in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against KOLESIE. This market will resolve to "KOLESIE" if KOLESIE win the match against FOKUS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).