Games Total: O/U 2.5
Probability
67¢
1h
+28.0pp
24h
+20.5pp
24h Vol
$610.73
Liquidity
$107.54
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 21pp over 24h
Now 67¢; +28.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.1h
- 22:56SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+20.5pp over the last 24h, now 67¢.
Active signals
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Imperial and Fake do Biru in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Imperial and Fake do Biru play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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