Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Probability
39¢
1h
+7.5pp
24h
+15.5pp
24h Vol
$11.90
Liquidity
$11.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 16pp over 24h
Now 39¢; +7.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $11.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 34¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 83.8h
- 16:10PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 39¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00AM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.nba.com/
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).