Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ASTRAL (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs
Probability
82¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+7.5pp
24h Vol
$3.4K
Liquidity
$16.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 9.7h
- 11:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:18PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 81¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 82¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 83¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 83¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 83¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 83¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 73¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 73¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 73¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 80¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 86¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 86¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 86¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 86¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Gentle Mates and ASTRAL in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win the match against Gentle Mates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).