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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ASTRAL (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs

Probability

82¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+7.5pp

24h Vol

$3.4K

Liquidity

$16.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+4.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 9.7h

    HIGH
  • 11:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:18Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Gentle Mates and ASTRAL in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win the match against Gentle Mates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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