SportsExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

Probability

52¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$326.31

Liquidity

$25.1K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 4, 2026, 19:00May 6, 2026, 04:16
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T04-16Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 52¢; flat in the last hour.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 57¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 81.7h

    LOW

Price movement

-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between TheMongolz and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
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