SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Probability

21¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$300.16

Liquidity

$7.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 23:00Apr 26, 2026, 17:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Expiry in 9h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 9 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 9.3h

    HIGH
  • 17:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.

Biggest hourly move: -7.0pp at 05:00 (to 13¢).

Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
  • 16:00 · -5.5pp → 14¢
  • 12:00 · -5.5pp → 14¢
  • 07:00 · -6.0pp → 14¢
  • 05:00 · -7.0pp → 13¢
  • 03:00 · +6.0pp → 21¢
  • 21:00 · +7.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 21¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between MIBR Academy and Fluxo W7M in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against MIBR Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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