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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Probability

50¢

1h

+14.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$7.8K

Liquidity

$11.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 21:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $11.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 6h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 6.2h

    HIGH
  • 12:49Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between MASONIC and G2 Ares in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MASONIC" if MASONIC win the match against G2 Ares. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against MASONIC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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