Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$36.0K
Liquidity
$22.7K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover
$36.0k traded against $22.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 8h.
- 04Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $22.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 05Resolution proximity
Expiry in 8h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.7h
- 15:48SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 8h.
Price movement
-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.
Biggest hourly move: -12.5pp at 09:00 (to 38¢).
Show top 8 of 10 hourly moves
- 15:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
- 14:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 13:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
- 11:00 · -10.5pp → 40¢
- 10:00 · -10.5pp → 40¢
- 09:00 · -12.5pp → 38¢
- 07:00 · -10.5pp → 41¢
- 05:00 · -6.5pp → 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 41¢-12.0pp
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $761.84
- 46¢-0.5pp
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $500.00
- 45¢-2.5pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $10.10
- 32¢-1.5pp
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)
Sports · Vol $500.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 30¢-20.0pp
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
Sports · Vol $5.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 30¢-20.0pp
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
Sports · Vol $5.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 1¢-0.2pp
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sports · Vol $1.0M
- 2¢+0.1pp
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $955.4K
- 28¢+1.0pp
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Sports · Vol $949.0K
- 46¢+0.5pp
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
Sports · Vol $752.8K
- 0¢-13.0pp
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Sports · Vol $664.1K
Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Passion UA and FOKUS in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Passion UA" if Passion UA win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against Passion UA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Rash-Barometer14.0K
- Treasured-Parchment2.2K
- Webbed-Cork1.5K
- Female-Cougar1.2K
- Rash-Caddy-Hurdle592
- Wild-Soap6.5K
- Untimely-Spite2.8K
- Far-Flung-Illustration2.1K
- Near-Oats1.4K
- Celebrated-Picture1.3K