Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+42.4pp
24h
+50.0pp
24h Vol
$7.3K
Liquidity
$70.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 50pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +42.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $7.3k traded against $70.1k of visible liquidity (0.10× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 50.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.8h
- 19:10SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 50.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 19:10SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+50.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +50.0pp at 19:00 (to 100¢).
Show 5 hourly moves
- 19:00 · +50.0pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +5.5pp → 56¢
- 15:00 · +3.5pp → 54¢
- 13:00 · +3.5pp → 54¢
- 11:00 · +3.5pp → 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Rebels Gaming and HyperSpirit in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D, initially scheduled for May 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Rebels Gaming" if Rebels Gaming win Map 2 against HyperSpirit. This market will resolve to "HyperSpirit" if HyperSpirit win Map 2 against Rebels Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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