Loading shell…
SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winner

Probability

54¢

1h

+3.5pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$129.69

Liquidity

$1.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 54¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 40h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 31.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 40h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 40.1h

    HIGH
  • 12:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 40h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Reign Above and Marsborne in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Reign Above" if Reign Above win Map 2 against Marsborne. This market will resolve to "Marsborne" if Marsborne win Map 2 against Reign Above. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).